 | MOUNT INFLECTION FREE |
Action Summary
Day change 1.19% | Cash 22.16% | Holdings 15 |
Risk state Normal · 5.00% starting allocation per newly added name.
Pending Model Actions
Pending hypothetical model entries/exits. Expected trade dates can change; reference prices are not fills.
| Expected date / Action | Position / Reason | Price / P/L | Size / Hold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09BUYSignal 2026-10-08 | XOMWeekly rotation entry | $168.50 ref.P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPlanned entry 2026-10-09 |
| 2026-10-09BUYSignal 2026-10-08 | SUWeekly rotation entry | $70.91 ref.P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPlanned entry 2026-10-09 |
| 2026-10-09SELLSignal 2026-10-08 | MARWeekly rotation exit | $361.81 ref.P/L 8.16% | 5.33%Hold 20 daysPosition entry 2026-09-18 |
| 2026-10-09SELLSignal 2026-10-08 | GGBWeekly rotation exit | $4.97 ref.P/L 0.24% | 4.75%Hold 69 daysPosition entry 2026-07-31 |
| 2026-10-09SELLSignal 2026-10-08 | FDXWeekly rotation exit | $291.73 ref.P/L -13.61% | 4.23%Hold 55 daysPosition entry 2026-08-14 |
| 2026-10-09BUYSignal 2026-10-08 | COPWeekly rotation entry | $134.19 ref.P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPlanned entry 2026-10-09 |
| 2026-10-09SELLSignal 2026-10-08 | ATIWeekly rotation exit | $188.13 ref.P/L 0.78% | 4.85%Hold 13 daysPosition entry 2026-09-25 |
| 2026-10-09BUYSignal 2026-10-08 | APAWeekly rotation entry | $45.47 ref.P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPlanned entry 2026-10-09 |
| 2026-10-09BUYSignal 2026-10-08 | AESWeekly rotation entry | $14.93 ref.P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPlanned entry 2026-10-09 |
| 2026-10-09SELLSignal 2026-10-08 | AAPLWeekly rotation exit | $340.42 ref.P/L 7.44% | 5.26%Hold 41 daysPosition entry 2026-08-28 |
Execution Rails
Thursday-close decisions for the next observed open. Enter on a new signal, hold the quantity, and close only on an exit signal. Changes in rank, prices, risk state or reference weights do not add to or trim an existing position. New entries use the signal sizing reference; brokerage quantities and fills are reported separately. Size is a share of model equity. This newsletter does not place brokerage orders.
Performance reference
Historical figures below describe the previous research allocation model, not a backtest of the entry/exit-only execution rule effective October 7, 2026.
MI Strategy Review
Free is a freshly rebuilt, deduplicated hypothetical share/cash model. Historical model results are not broker fills or customer returns. The first next-open fills and costs are included from the December 30, 2011 cash baseline.
Fresh deduplicated Free and Pro historical research on identical daily observations through December 31, 2025. Cumulative returns and same-date drawdowns; not live-account evidence.
| Period | Free | Pro |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 40.55%DD -15.29% | 55.12%DD -16.23% |
| 3Y | 127.10%DD -15.29% | 177.84%DD -16.23% |
| 5Y | 193.91%DD -15.29% | 269.70%DD -23.58% |
| Period | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 17.72%DD -18.76% | 20.77%DD -22.77% |
| 3Y | 85.50%DD -18.76% | 134.86%DD -22.77% |
| 5Y | 95.39%DD -24.50% | 101.77%DD -35.12% |
| Period | Opening | Ending | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | 250 |
| 3Y | 2022-12-30 | 2025-12-31 | 752 |
| 5Y | 2020-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | 1255 |
Free cost basis: The hypothetical research simulation includes 5 bps slippage plus 1 bp commission per fill. Subscription fees, taxes, cash interest and additional market impact are excluded.
Pro cost basis: Includes 12 bps per one-way turnover at applicable component and allocation layers, 3% annual short carry, and 5% annual financing on funded allocation above one unit of capital. Pro uses leverage and shorts; short locates, actual borrow availability and brokerage execution are not established by this paper test.
| Period | Free | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012–2025 | 1308.47%DD -16.06% | 595.69%DD -33.72% | 1142.82%DD -35.12% |
Calendar-time CAGR 20.79% · maximum drawdown -16.06% · 655 active weekly reviews of 708 total.
Hypothetical model continuation since 2026-01-02: 25.60% return, -16.55% maximum drawdown across 193 completed session(s).
The hypothetical research simulation includes 5 bps slippage plus 1 bp commission per fill. Subscription fees, taxes, cash interest and additional market impact are excluded.
Model results are not customer or brokerage returns. Subscription fees and taxes are excluded. SPY and QQQ are unlevered adjusted-price buy-and-hold comparisons. Research selection, hindsight, current-survivor/founder-universe and no-untouched-holdout limitations apply.
Open Positions
| Position / Entry | P/L % | Hold (days) | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PBF2026-10-02 | 9.84% | 6 | 5.36% |
| CVX2026-10-02 | 3.30% | 6 | 5.04% |
| LXP2026-09-25 | 0.15% | 13 | 4.82% |
| ATI2026-09-25 | 0.78% | 13 | 4.85% |
| MPC2026-09-18 | 10.25% | 20 | 5.43% |
| MAR2026-09-18 | 8.16% | 20 | 5.33% |
| VLO2026-09-04 | 20.43% | 34 | 5.87% |
| PSX2026-09-04 | 11.84% | 34 | 5.45% |
| ILMN2026-09-04 | 22.07% | 34 | 5.95% |
| AAPL2026-08-28 | 7.44% | 41 | 5.26% |
| FDX2026-08-14 | -13.61% | 55 | 4.23% |
| DINO2026-08-14 | 29.97% | 55 | 6.37% |
| HOG2026-07-31 | 9.22% | 69 | 5.17% |
| GGB2026-07-31 | 0.24% | 69 | 4.75% |
| INTC2026-06-22 | -23.03% | 108 | 3.94% |
Continuing MI 2.1 Free hypothetical model positions at the completed close. Entry dates come from the model history, not from Alpaca account initialization. Holding days are calendar days; entry day is zero. New subscribers follow later additions and do not backfill earlier entries.
Top 10 Ranks
| Rank / Ticker | Status | P/L % | Hold (days) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 MPC | OPEN | 10.25% | 20 |
| 2 VLO | OPEN | 20.43% | 34 |
| 3 DINO | OPEN | 29.97% | 55 |
| 4 PSX | OPEN | 11.84% | 34 |
| 5 CVX | OPEN | 3.30% | 6 |
| 6 LXP | OPEN | 0.15% | 13 |
| 7 PBF | OPEN | 9.84% | 6 |
| 8 XOM | BUYPending | — | — |
| 9 APA | BUYPending | — | — |
| 10 AES | BUYPending | — | — |
Top Ranks shows the weekly long-only candidates used by Free. Only the first 10 names are published in Free. A rank is context, not an order.
— means no trade observation. CLOSED P/L and hold refer to the last recorded exit; OPEN refers to the current position.
Completed Model Actions
Trade dates below show when each hypothetical model action occurred. History: 2026-09-03 through 2026-10-08. Do not repeat completed actions.
| Trade date / Action | Position / Reason | Price / P/L | Size / Hold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02SELLSignal 2026-10-01 | PTENWeekly rotation exit | $11.04P/L -7.46% | 4.67%Hold 14 daysPosition entry 2026-09-18 |
| 2026-10-02BUYSignal 2026-10-01 | PBFWeekly rotation entry | $81.34P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-02BUYSignal 2026-10-01 | CVXWeekly rotation entry | $204.80P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-02SELLSignal 2026-10-01 | BWAWeekly rotation exit | $61.00P/L -8.69% | 4.60%Hold 21 daysPosition entry 2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-25SELLSignal 2026-09-24 | ZIONWeekly rotation exit | $63.48P/L -7.67% | 4.55%Hold 56 daysPosition entry 2026-07-31 |
| 2026-09-25SELLSignal 2026-09-24 | VALEWeekly rotation exit | $13.56P/L -11.26% | 4.52%Hold 28 daysPosition entry 2026-08-28 |
| 2026-09-25BUYSignal 2026-09-24 | LXPWeekly rotation entry | $60.92P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-25 |
| 2026-09-25BUYSignal 2026-09-24 | ATIWeekly rotation entry | $186.67P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-25 |
| 2026-09-18SELLSignal 2026-09-17 | STXWeekly rotation exit | $814.69P/L -6.30% | 4.67%Hold 7 daysPosition entry 2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-18BUYSignal 2026-09-17 | PTENWeekly rotation entry | $11.93P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-18SELLSignal 2026-09-17 | NOVWeekly rotation exit | $20.41P/L 6.23% | 5.11%Hold 49 daysPosition entry 2026-07-31 |
| 2026-09-18BUYSignal 2026-09-17 | MPCWeekly rotation entry | $420.27P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-18BUYSignal 2026-09-17 | MARWeekly rotation entry | $334.51P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-18SELLSignal 2026-09-17 | ATIWeekly rotation exit | $184.71P/L -8.58% | 4.56%Hold 7 daysPosition entry 2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-11BUYSignal 2026-09-10 | STXWeekly rotation entry | $869.42P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-11SELLSignal 2026-09-10 | MPCWeekly rotation exit | $394.99P/L 10.95% | 5.54%Hold 28 daysPosition entry 2026-08-14 |
| 2026-09-11SELLSignal 2026-09-10 | MARWeekly rotation exit | $334.96P/L -4.49% | 4.77%Hold 28 daysPosition entry 2026-08-14 |
| 2026-09-11SELLSignal 2026-09-10 | KMXWeekly rotation exit | $61.42P/L 5.21% | 5.07%Hold 42 daysPosition entry 2026-07-31 |
| 2026-09-11BUYSignal 2026-09-10 | BWAWeekly rotation entry | $66.81P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-11BUYSignal 2026-09-10 | ATIWeekly rotation entry | $202.04P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-04BUYSignal 2026-09-03 | VLOWeekly rotation entry | $368.50P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-04 |
| 2026-09-04BUYSignal 2026-09-03 | PSXWeekly rotation entry | $251.78P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-04 |
| 2026-09-04SELLSignal 2026-09-03 | PANWWeekly rotation exit | $329.66P/L -12.62% | 4.39%Hold 7 daysPosition entry 2026-08-28 |
| 2026-09-04BUYSignal 2026-09-03 | ILMNWeekly rotation entry | $216.74P/L — | 5.00%Hold 0 daysPosition entry 2026-09-04 |
| 2026-09-04SELLSignal 2026-09-03 | CSXWeekly rotation exit | $48.91P/L -2.50% | 4.74%Hold 35 daysPosition entry 2026-07-31 |
| 2026-09-04SELLSignal 2026-09-03 | AWeekly rotation exit | $148.97P/L 5.33% | 5.20%Hold 28 daysPosition entry 2026-08-07 |
System Pulse
| Window | Closed / Win | Avg P/L / Hold | Open / P/L / Hold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 10 closedWin 30.00% | -3.21%28 days | 6 open · 5.41%13 days |
| 100 days | 59 closedWin 50.85% | 2.87%23 days | 14 open · 8.58%34 days |
| 200 days | 108 closedWin 44.44% | 5.23%27 days | 15 open · 6.47%38 days |
Hypothetical model actions and open episodes. The frozen research history runs through December 31, 2025 and the same model rules continue afterward. Brokerage-account seed orders are excluded.
Model Notes
Free selects up to 15 long positions from the weekly ranking process. It keeps its own Thursday portfolio state. Own Thursday-close portfolio from positive combined MI-core and O1-X long intentions; not a separate single-vintage selector.
Research and hypothetical model results are educational. Market risk, execution differences and modeled costs affect outcomes; past results do not predict future performance.